Comments on: Some predictions come true, some dont… http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/ the mark cuban weblog Wed, 23 May 2012 01:59:45 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ By: Matt http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25273 Fri, 12 Jan 2007 17:34:42 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25273 eMusic sells indie music MP3s and is the second bigest online retailer of digital music behind iTunes and Yahoo are very interested in selling Mp3s from the big 4 so you will probably be wrong on that one also….

]]> By: Jay http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25285 Thu, 26 Oct 2006 15:50:39 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25285 I would like to add to the GooTube and Apple download service mix.

1. I think that Apple has seen that the shelf life of its music download service to be fairly short. With technology and bandwidth both lowering barriers of entry at a rapid pace they are not so dumb as to concede that they have an end all be all product.

2. Though Mr Cuban is right that the opportunity is there for individuals to use after market software to convert GooTube videos into something workable for portable players, how many people will be enterprising enough to actually do this? Yes I concur that there will be a minority that do have the technical guts to actually go through with the process, but the vast majority of teen and pre teens that compose such a large base for the Ipod would rather bug their parents for a $50 Ipod card then actually go through with it.

3. Apple’s real threat I feel is on the horizon, and that is for wide spread access to wireless internet and more people have interenet enabled phones that double as a personal music player (Motorola Q, LG Chocolate, any Palm device). Once the validity of the technology is there who cares that you have a 300 gig Ipod when one can just access millions of free vidoes and songs from the likes of Yahoo music, Gootube, and MySpace.

Apple and Steve Jobs are very smart very intuitive beings, they know that they have a short life on a product such as the download service and probably already have the next gen in the works somewhere. Remember even the Pony Express only lasted a year.

]]> By: rachel http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25284 Tue, 24 Oct 2006 12:13:48 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25284 Hello Mr. Cuban,
I’m a senior at Ithaca College and am currently working on a project analyzing your new idea for a movie theatre just for kids. My partner Alex and I have found some interesting results in our research concerning what parents would want in order to make this idea appealing. Feel free to contact me anytime or

visit me at http://sorethumbmedia.blogspot.com!

i’d love to hear from you :-D

]]> By: Arash M http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25283 Fri, 06 Oct 2006 12:54:45 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25283 Interesting to read this entry now with the news that Google is looking at purchacing youtube for billions. looks like youtube took your advice to sell :)

I think you last line should read:
The more things change, the more they stay the same. And the more they stay the same, the more they look like they are about to change. Even on the net.

]]> By: Don Dodge http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25282 Fri, 29 Sep 2006 14:12:14 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25282 I was a VP at Napster when we were being sued by the record labels, so I know a little about copyright infringement. YouTube has “significant non-infringing use” which is a proven legal defense against copyright lawsuits.

The Sony BetaMax case was won on the basis that video recorders were used for many other legal purposes that demonstrated significant non-infringing use. Sony could not be held liable for the misdeeds of some of its users. It is the responsibility of the copyright owner to identify infringing material and take action to protect it.

I do agree that targeting advertisements to random videos will be a challenge and CPC/CPM rates will be low. But, YouTube has a huge audience and will figure out how to monetize it.

I wrote a blog “Mark Cuban Loves YouTube”, taking a page out of the Mark Cuban publicity book. The blog is about Internet copyright law and my experiences at Napster. http://dondodge.typepad.com/the_next_big_thing/2006/09/mark_cuban_love.html

]]> By: John http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25281 Fri, 29 Sep 2006 11:38:35 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25281 I think you’re waaaay off on YouTube. The copyright concerns are real, but user generated still has the edge on copyrighted material. This guy does some great monthly analysis of the most viewed content on YouTube: http://nomansblog.typepad.com/no_mans_blog/2006/09/youtube_trends_.html

What’s more, YouTube gets too much focus in terms of digital video. According to ComScore, MySpace videos and Yahoo videos are the top two online video sharing sites, with YouTube trailing at 3rd: http://www.comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=982

But yes, they’re all growing. That’s why I think you’re off. The demand for video content is HUGE. Consumers are craving it right now. YouTube will prosper because of that. Copyright concerns will not be able to thwart demand.

If I were to advise someone not to buy a company, it would be not to buy the publishers that have copyright concerns. While YouTube is supplying the demand that consumers are craving, the publishers are sitting on their hands and worrying about infringment.

]]> By: rafa http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25280 Fri, 29 Sep 2006 10:17:42 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25280 Your prediction on mp3 is a good assesment of how they’re not (currently) viable for selling music, but you’re way off on it’s proliferation compared to these other formats. Anything with DRM is going to work poorly as opposed to an unrestricted format. Until buying DRM secure music allows for the same flexibility (in terms of devices it can be used on AND price) as mp3s, the formats will not work.

]]> By: utubeblog http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25279 Fri, 29 Sep 2006 09:21:36 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25279 Mark, I think you are wrong on the YouTube issue. I explain my reasons here: http://utubeblog.wordpress.com/2006/09/29/mark-cuban-atacks-youtube-again/

]]> By: Ed Parsons http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25278 Thu, 28 Sep 2006 13:40:01 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25278 Here’s another goodie to laugh at: you shorting IIG the second time. You should have taken your winnings the first time you shorted it and then walked away.

]]> By: Striddy http://blogmaverick.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25277 Wed, 27 Sep 2006 19:06:20 +0000 http://blogmaverick.wordpress.com/2006/09/25/some-predictions-come-true-some-dont/#comment-25277 It doesn’t matter how many times you’re wrong, you only have to be right once…as I think you might say. Selling Broadcast at the height of the bubble…and then collaring your shares, pure genius.

btw, according to MarketWatch and Comscore–Fox and MySpace are already winning in digital video, even when you take out YouTube videos viewed on MySpace…see “MySpace trumps YouTube, Google Video, etc.” from MarketWatch 9/26

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